AFL - Betting Systems - Week 14

[GreenValley]

As we enter the final four weeks of the season we have a little less to choose from.

System 2......5-12 Under TY
Utah Under

System 3......4-15 Under TY
Los Angeles Under

System 4......1-1 TY
New Orleans Over

System 7......2-4 TY
Dallas

System 10......3-16-1 TY
Los Angeles Under
Grand Rapids Under

System 11......Over Plays......1-5 Under TY
Grand Rapids Over

System 11......Under plays......5-12 Under TY
New Orleans Under
Chicago Under
Los Angeles Under

System 12......11-2 TY
Los Angeles

Note:
Utah and Grand Rapids game has total systems on both sides

Comments:
The under totals were on fire last week and I noticed that this week the average of all the totals are down 27 points. I beleive they may have compensated a little.

I posted system 10 for FYI only as even though it's technically still in May it has already completed a four week stint and should be considered finished.

Also posted system 11 for FYI as it's just not performing because of all the previouly high totals.

Only 2 totals in the teens this week and although 2 winning systems have plays on the under, bear in mind that they involve games with 2 teams that are the worst defensively in the league. Utah's avegrage score is 119.5 and Los Angeles averages score is 115.8. Difficult to get behind these plays.

Trends Of Interest:
Arizona 9-26 Under in May
Grand Rapids 23-7 Over at home
Cleveland 11-2 ATS vs. the east....last 0-2
Colorado 7-2 ATS as home dog
New York 25-10-1 ATS vs. teams with losing records
San Jose 34-9 SU vs teams with losing records

Here are some addition trends for End-Of Year totals - - - * apply to this week
Arizona 1-9 Under last 2 road games...*
Columbus 8-0 Over last 2 games
Dallas 7-1 Over last 2 games
Georgia 0-4 Under last road game
Grand Rapids 8-1 Over last 2 home games...*
Kansas City 5-0 Over last 2 home games
New York 8-2 Over last 2 road games...*
Philadelphia 6-1 Over last 2 home games
San Jose 0-5 Under last road game...*
Tampa Bay 11-1 Over last 3 games

The above trends are not gospel, just to be taken into consideration when you're doing your handicapping and looking for support for something you like already.

I just don't see the juicy stuff that has shown up recently. Of course I'll be betting, but the rubber band won't be coming off this week so I can fire.


As Always My Friends,
BOL,
Green Valley

 

[GreenValley]

To All

One additional note:

The Columbus / New orleans game has total systems on both sides.


BOL,
Green Valley

 

[METFAN]

THANKS FOR THE DATA..WENT 9-2 LAST WEEK FOLLOWING YOU.ONLY LOST NY AND ORLANDO SIDES...

WILL YOU BE DOING ANYTHING FOR CANADIAN FOOTBALL?:toast:

 

[GreenValley]

Metfan

Yes, I play CFL. In fact what I don't bet on is a very short list.

I look forward to the CFL with some very good stuff not unlike the AFL. Interestingly enough I've watched only one game on TV in the last three years. (Happened to be in a bar with the signal). A contest I just can't seem to get into from a viewers perspective. But one has nothing to do with the other. It's all about the Benjamins......so however you acquire them is the thing.


BOL,
Green Valley

 

[METFAN]

I've Caught A Few. I Like To Watch The Western Conference More Than The East. Look Forward To Those Plays. Are They As Strong As The Arena Trends?

 

[GreenValley]

Metfan

A couple of examples:

Bet ON Home Favorite after non-division game off of 2 straight unders.
27-6 SU.....3-0 SU LY

Bet TORONTO games Under the first four weeks of the season.
6-26 Under L8Y......0-8 Under as dog......*dog once LY

I have to admit, I'm very selective with the plays and might not make as many as others would, but I believe they have merit. I would suggest a site called ATS Database as a tool. Very informative.


Respectfully,
Green Valley

 

[METFAN]

A couple of examples:

Bet ON Home Favorite after non-division game off of 2 straight unders.
27-6 SU.....3-0 SU LY

Bet TORONTO games Under the first four weeks of the season.
6-26 Under L8Y......0-8 Under as dog......*dog once LY

I have to admit, I'm very selective with the plays and might not make as many as others would, but I believe they have merit. I would suggest a site called ATS Database as a tool. Very informative.


Respectfully,
Green Valley

THANKS SO MUCH..I'M PUMPED ALREADY...
YOU CAN'T IMAGINE HOW MUCH THESE PLAYS EITHER BAIL ME OUT OF A SHIT WEEK OR TOTAL ENHANCE A GOOD WEEK...ARE YOU MAKING ANY SPECIFIC PLAYS YHIS WEEK? WHAT ABOUT TONIGHT... I'M LEANING ON COLUMBUS GIVEN THE VOODOO'S SHORT WEEK

 

[GreenValley]

Metfan

I have no feel for Friday's game.

The last five times Columbus has won a home game and they went out on a road game they are 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS (covering as +15 dog).

Going back to 2004 New Orleans is 3-0 SU and ATS versus which all put together means a pass for me. New Orleans lost last week at home for the first time and not looking for lightning to strike twice. I couldn't even get a handle on the total after approaching it from several angles.

For me it looks like jazz night at the Orleans by the pool and a couple of cocktails for a little R & R.


BOL,
Green Valley

 

[METFAN]

thanks..cocktails it is :toast: